With Senator Catherine Cortez Masto’s victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain control of the Senate next year, even if Republicans win December’s second round in Georgia. While Tuesday’s election represented an unusually strong performance from the party’s first president, individual Senate candidates’ showings varied widely.
Arrows show how many more provinces voted Republican or democratic in the 2022 Senate races than in the 2020 presidential election.
Source: The Associated Press results data as of noon on Sunday Arrows are only shown for counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. See the notes below for more information about the data.
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Some Democrats who won improved President Biden’s margins in 2020, while others underperformed but still retained their seats. Some took victories, while the Democratic candidates for other offices in their states rode to victory. The reasons vary: some faced weaker opponents endorsed by Mr Trump, while others found themselves in states where issues like democracy and abortion were particularly important.
Margin shifts since 2020 have been mixed in the most competitive states. Some winning Democrats outperformed Mr. Biden, most notably Arizona Senator Mark Kelly, who beat Republican newcomer Blake Masters by 6 points on Saturday. (That figure may change as more votes are counted.) In Wisconsin and North Carolina, the winning Republicans slightly outperformed Mr Trump, while author JD Vance Ohio won by a narrower margin than the former president.
The most competitive states
+1.8 points. dem.
Hassan did better
than Biden
arizona ›
Mark Kelly (D) wins
+5.4 points. dem.
Kelly did better
than Biden
+3.2 points. dem.
Fetterman did better
than Biden
Georgia ›
Redundancy on December 9
+0.7 points. dem.
Warnock did better
than Biden
Nevada ›
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) wins
+1.7 points. Rep.
Cortez Masto did worse
than Biden
+1.6 points. Rep.
Johnson did better
then Trump
+2.3 points. Rep.
Budd did better
then Trump
Ohio ›
JD Vance (R) wins
+1.5 pts. dem.
Vance did worse
then Trump
Senate races with win margins of 10 points or less. Margins may change as the rest of the votes are counted in each state.
Some of the biggest shifts from 2020 have been in solid blue and red states. Democratic candidates in New York, Maryland and Connecticut won comfortably, but by much narrower margins than Biden received.
Solid Democratic States
Hawaii ›
Brian Schatz (D) wins
+15.8 points. dem.
Schatz did better
than Biden
Vermont ›
Peter Welch (D) wins
+4.8 points. dem.
Welch did better
than Biden
Maryland ›
Chris Van Hollen (D) wins
+7.0 points. Rep.
Van Hollen did worse
than Biden
+5.2 points. Rep.
Blumenthal fared worse
than Biden
Illinois ›
Tammy Duckworth (D) wins
+3.4 points. Rep.
Duckworth did worse
than Biden
New York >
Chuck Schumer (D) wins
+9.9 points. Rep.
Schumer fared worse
than Biden
Colorado ›
Michael Bennet (D) wins
+0.2 points. Rep.
Bennett did worse
than Biden
Margins may change as the rest of the votes are counted in each state. California, Oregon and Washington state are not shown because not enough votes have been reported to make comparisons.
While Republican Senate candidates in red states were more likely to improve Trump’s margins in 2020, they did lose ground in a handful of states.
Solid Republican States
iowa ›
Charles E. Grassley (R) wins
+4.0 points. Rep.
Grassley did better
then Trump
Missouri ›
Eric Schmitt (R) wins
+2.1 points. dem.
Schmitt did worse
then Trump
Florida ›
Marco Rubio (R) wins
+13.1 points. Rep.
Rubio did better
then Trump
Indiana ›
Todd Young (R) wins
+4.7 points. Rep.
Young did better
then Trump
Kansas ›
Jerry Moran (R) wins
+8.7 points. Rep.
Moran did better
then Trump
+2.4 points. dem.
Paul did worse
then Trump
+14.2 points. Rep.
Scott did better
then Trump
+6.5 points. dem.
Mullin did worse
then Trump
Idaho ›
Mike Crapo (R) wins
+1.1 points. Rep.
Crapo did better
then Trump
oklahoma ›
James Lankford (R) wins
+0.9 points. dem.
Lankford fared worse
then Trump
Arkansas ›
John Boozman (R) wins
+7.2 points. Rep.
Boozman did better
then Trump
Alabama ›
Katie Britt (R) wins
+10.3 points. Rep.
Britt did better
then Trump
+17.3 points. Rep.
Thune did better
then Trump
Margins may change as the rest of the votes are counted in each state. Alaska, Louisiana, North Dakota and Utah are not shown because the party distribution of the candidates in this election does not allow for comparable margins to be calculated.
Statewide comparisons to other breeds
In several competing states, voters split their tickets and chose a Senate candidate from a different party than their choice of governor or secretary of state. New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, a Republican, won re-election by more than 15 points. But Senator Maggie Hassan, a Democrat, also won re-election, defeating Don Buldoc, a far-right candidate who has backed the false claim that the 2020 election was stolen.
Competitive Senate races with winning margins of 10 points or less are shown. North Carolina is not included because it has not held elections for the other top offices statewide. Margins may change as the rest of the votes are counted in each state.
In Georgia, Senator Raphael Warnock, a Democrat, advanced to a runoff election against Herschel Walker, while Republicans Brian Kemp, the governor, and Brad Raffensperger, the secretary of state, won by healthy margins. In Pennsylvania, John Fetterman won his Senate race, but his support lagged behind fellow Democrat and candidate for governor, Josh Shapiro.