The Juggernaut of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) rolls on, making election paths creative, combative and sometimes even controversial. In this current five -year cycle of state elections, which started the national elections in May 2024, the BJP won five of the nine states. In comparison with the previous result in those states, the BJP retained power in two (Arunachal Pradesh and Haryana), and in three it yielded a sitting (Odisha, Maharashtra and now Delhi).
Every victory has increased the hegemony of the BJP in the Indian political landscape, giving it even more control over power structures and institutions. It has also delivered crushing strokes to various significance of significance in their bastions and weakened the other most important national party, the congress, making it an object of Ire among its partners.
A strict that wins through this BJP is disruption in every possible way. Given the election rewards that this strategy has delivered, and the long election challenges that are on the following year (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Kerala), expect that this playbook will continue.
The full power of that playbook was seen in Delhi, the 19th largest territory of India per population and 32nd largest per area, but 11th largest economic size. As the national power seat, it also acquires great visibility. The BJP ruled Delhi for the last time between 1993 and 1998, with three chief ministers in turn. Even when the BJP became the epicenter of political power after 2014, this small state kept it out. It became the site of the spicy, alternative politics of the AAM Aadmi party (AAP), which came up broadly around the same time.
Delhi Belly
It took a lot to break the grip of the AAP over Delhi. Borders have been tested for the unique separation of center states of powers in Delhi, who prevented the decision -making representatives. The main minister of the monkey and vice minister president were imprisoned for a policy decision. AAP MLAs were routinely accused of various crimes and infringements. AAP MLAs and leaders were poached. The municipal companies of Delhi first bleed poorly and were subsequently merged into a single entity, which had his own dysfunctionalities.
When the dust settled, the BJP had heard the power of the monkey. The difference in seats in the 70-copy assembly-de 48 of the BJP versus the 22 of the AAP has been delivered a one-sided competition. It was much closer. With regard to the total voice share, the difference was only 3.6 percentage points (the BJPs 47.2% versus monkey's 43.6%). In 18 seats, the difference in margin was less than 5%: 12 of them went to the BJP, including six with a margin of less than 2%.
Alliance is important
This is important in the context of alliances. In Delhi the monkey fought against the general elections of 2024 in Alliance with the congress as part of the Broad India grouping. In the Seven Lok Sabha seats from Delhi, on the constituency (AC), this was split into 40 ACS for the monkey and 30 ACS for the congress.
However, the two parties did not extend their alliance to the state elections of 2025, with the AAP conferres voice share (49.9%) greater than that of the BJP (47.2%). The BJP won 14 seats with margins smaller than the voices that the congress received. This included New Delhi, where AAP Supremo Arvind Kejriwal lost to Parvesh Verma of the BJP, with Sandep Dikshit of the congress in third place.
In this election cycle, Delhi was the third state, after Haryana and Maharashtra, where there was friction around alliances between parties that form the India Bloc. The BJP won all three states.
The following state elections are planned for the end of 2025 in Bihar, where the BJP brought out of his playbook from disruption and in January 2024 orchestrated a medium change in power. In the India, Bloc will have to move generously and decisively to hit a common ground.
Bihar is one of the six state elections that are planned for the next 12-15 months. In three of these, the BJP is in power, all to a certain extent of alliance. In the other three it has never been to power. Although it has set considerably in West Bengal in the last state elections, Tamil Nadu and Kerala were difficult to crack.
Apart from Assam, the other five states have strong regional parties. And they would have seen how the BJP used chaos and disruption to turn the tables in Delhi.
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